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What are 1 in 4096 odds?

With 1/4096 odds, you can expect it would take 4096 tries on average to succeed, so therefore using this number as our "n" gets us 1-(1-(1/4096))^4096 = ~0.6322; So would it be fair to estimate that about 63% of players still would not of gotten lucky, and about 37% would of been?
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What are the shiny odds?

According to one of the game's Biology lessons, shiny odds are 1 in 4,000. In other games they've been 1 in 4069, so it's likely that this is a simplification, but either way, it's very possible to go through the entire game without seeing any.
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How does probability work in Pokémon?

Probability of capture

The expected value of the random variable r is 1/p, that is to say, on average, a Pokémon that can be caught with probability p will be caught with 1/p tries.
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What makes a Pokémon 100%?

Your chosen team leader will show you how your Pokémon's stats fare. A 100% IV would mean that Attack, Defense and Stamina are all at 15. Everything below that works out to being a percentage of the maximum possible stat of 45. For example: A Gengar with 10 Attack, 10 Defense and 12 Stamina would have an IV of 71%.
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What are the odds of a perfect Pokémon?

Generating a pokemon with perfect IVs by chance happens 1 in 1,073,741,824 times (yes, less than 1 in 1 billion). If you haven't bred in your desired nature and are leaving that to chance, you're looking at 1 in 5 billion, which is why you should deal with your egg moves and nature before you worry about IVs.
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I FOUND A 1 in 4096 FULL ODDS SHINY?! - Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 1st Impressions

Are shiny catches 100 percent?

Shiny Pokémon from Raid Battles and from Team GO Rocket have a 100% catch rate when successfully hit with a Premier Ball. Only the Shiny forms of certain Pokémon have been released, often coinciding with a special event or update.
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What is the rarest shiny rate?

When the Shiny mechanic was first introduced in the Johto region, players odds of running into the special Pokémon-type was a staggering 1 out of 8192 encounters. Over the years, Game Freak has lowered Shiny rates to 1/4096 in order to make the rare variant easier to find.
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What is the hardest shiny to catch?

Pokemon Scarlet & Violet: The Hardest Pokemon To Shiny Hunt
  • 8 Wattrel. ...
  • 7 Varoom. ...
  • 6 Mimikyu. ...
  • 5 Ditto, Zorua, And Zoroark. ...
  • 4 Dusk Form Lycanroc. ...
  • 3 Tynamo. ...
  • 2 Family Of Three Maushold And Three-Segment Dudunsparce. ...
  • 1 Authentic Sinistea. This one Pokemon has plagued the shiny hunting community for years.
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What is the lamest Shiny Pokémon?

Here's our list of Pokémon we don't think it's worth spending hours looking for.
  • Regice. There are three general archetypes of shiny Pokémon. ...
  • Zapdos. Speaking of disappointing legendaries, the second archetype of terrible shiny is changing one part of the design. ...
  • Espeon. ...
  • Gholdengo. ...
  • Tandemaus. ...
  • Flabébé ...
  • Garchomp. ...
  • Minior.
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How rare is a shiny Ditto?

Also, it would be best if you remembered it is rare to catch a Shiny Ditto, and according to some players, it is like one to 64.
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Is A Shiny magikarp rare?

A Shiny creature is extremely rare, so it's simply a case of checking every one you are looking for - such as Magikarp - in the hope it will be a different colour. Often, the variation is somewhat subtle.
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What is the best shiny of all time?

11 best shiny Pokémon
  • Ponyta. We love Ponyta here, and the fiery blaze that comes off it in the original form is cool enough. ...
  • Galarian Zigzagoon. The regional Pokémon variations already give us a new look for the ones involved, but they too have shiny variations. ...
  • Charizard. ...
  • Vaporeon. ...
  • Gyarados. ...
  • Dratini. ...
  • Luxray. ...
  • Spoink.
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What is the rarest non shiny Pokémon?

At the time of writing, Salandit and Salazzle are two of the rarest Pokémon in the game. If you want to add their entries to your Pokédex, your quest begins by hatching a Salandit from a 12km egg - the only way to currently obtain one.
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What is the most prized shiny Pokémon?

#1 Shining Charizard (Neo Destiny #107)

Shining Charizard is the most expensive Shiny Pokémon card ever printed, and even damaged versions can sell for well over $1,000.
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Can Shinies run away?

Pokemon Go players ditch Shiny Legendaries

That's because a wild Shiny Legendary keeps its same high catch rate. But to negate this, a Shiny Legendary can't run away from trainers.
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Is there a secret to catching shiny Pokémon?

Stop Catching All Those Pokémon

If you're not familiar with this tip, it's going to sound weird, but the best way to catch more Shiny Pokémon is to stop catching so many Pokemon. When you're just searching for shinies you're not really trying to catch 'em all.
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How rare are 4 star Pokémon?

There's a one in 4,096 chance, or 0.0244% portability, of finding perfect IVs from a wild catch.
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How rare is a mew?

Mew is an extremely rare Pokémon that has been seen by only a few people. Information on every Pokémon in the world is contained in Mew's cell structure, so it has the ability to use any and all TMs and HMs.
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Are all Shinies equally rare?

Shiny Pokemon are already rare, but some are even rarer in Pokemon GO. These are the most difficult to obtain shinies to get in the game. Pokemon GO hit the world a few years back, and even to this day, it's still going strong.
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How rare is shiny alpha Eevee?

The base odds of finding a Shiny in the wild are 4096/1, but these odds can be altered via different methods. Despite these methods, Alpha Pokemon have remained the hardest to find Shiny because of the many layers of RNG that go into hunting them.
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Is a shiny Mew rare?

Legit shiny Mew is without doubt one of the rarest shinies ever!
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Can you have a lucky shiny?

Yes, according to Reddit, a Pokémon can be both Shiny and Lucky!
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Why is Gyarados red?

The red Gyarados (Japanese: あかいギャラドス Red Gyarados) is a term used to refer to a Gyarados that is Shiny, which is red rather than its usual blue. According to the anime, this is due to the forced evolution; the Magikarp it evolves from retains its red color, having no time to change its scale color to blue.
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Can you tell if a Pokémon is shiny before you catch it scarlet?

You can tell if a Pokémon is shiny by its color. Shiny Pokémon don't have the standard color like a normal Pokémon, like a green Bronzor or a white Eevee. If you want to check if it's truly a shiny Pokémon, enter into a battle with it.
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