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What are the odds of flopping a set in Texas Hold em?

On the flop, there's about an 11.8% chance you'll flop at least a set (that includes full houses and quads, too). That means for set miners like you, the flop is going to be good for you only about once every eight times.
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How often do you flop a set in poker?

How often do you flop a set? Every ambitious poker player should know this number by heart: roughly 12% of the time or once every 9 times you see a flop with your pair. A scenario many poker players are afraid of is the dreaded set over set: you flop a set but one of your opponents flops a better set.
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How do you calculate the odds of flopping a set?

Probability of specific flops.

To work out the probability of specific flops with the cards in any order we simply multiply the probabilities of each of those cards being dealt. Multiply the 3 probabilities together.
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What are the odds of two players flopping a set?

Roughly 1% Chance of Two Players Flopping a Set

You are holding a pair in your hand and flop a set, which is a very strong hand in Hold'em. Your opponent, who is also holding a pair as their hole cards, also flops a set.
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What are the odds of flopping a royal flush in Hold em?

Odds of Making a Royal Flush on the Flop

Since there are exactly 19,600 different possible flops that can be dealt, the odds of flopping the Royal Flush are precisely 1 in 19,600.
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How the math works for flopping a set in poker

What is the most common flop in poker?

10 Fundamental Tips for The Most Common Types of Flops
  • Rainbow disconnected boards.
  • Paired boards.
  • Rainbow connected boards.
  • Two-tone disconnected boards.
  • Two-tone connected boards.
  • Monotone boards.
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What are the odds of flopping pocket aces?

The odds of getting dealt pocket aces in No-Limit Texas Hold'em is 1 in 221 or around 0.45%. So your chances of it happening are pretty slim.
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Should you bet a set on the flop?

It's simple: ALWAYS BET! The reasoning here is that you have a super high equity hand with which you should want to build as big of a pot as possible. Checking would typically result in smaller pots won, on average. Example: You raise preflop from the cutoff with 7♥ 7♣ and the big blind calls.
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How often does AK hit the flop?

Of course, AK won't hit the flop every time…in fact it misses the flop on average 2/3 of the time. This is very standard for hands with unpaired broadway cards, so knowing how to play when the hand misses the flop is crucial. But even when AK misses the flop it still usually has some equity.
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What are the important poker odds to remember?

Odds of getting these cards dealt pre-flop
  • Pocket Aces: 1 in 220. ...
  • Pocket pair: 1 in 17. ...
  • Two suited cards: 1 in 4. ...
  • A pair: 1 in 3. ...
  • A set from a pocket pair: 1 in 8. ...
  • Flush draw: 1 in 3. ...
  • Flush draw plus another draw: 1 in 2. ...
  • “Open-ended” straight draw: 1 in 3.
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What are the odds of flopping 4 of a kind in Texas Hold em?

In standard Texas hold'em card games played with a 52-card deck, the probability of making four-of-a-kind is 0.0256%. And the odds of making quads at some point during a hand is 4,164-to-1.
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What are the odds of making a full house in Hold em?

The odds of being dealt a full house off the top of a shuffled deck is 0.1441%. This is because in a standard 52-card deck there are 3,744 combinations that make a full house out of a total of 2,598,960 possible hands. This is equivalent to odds of 693-to-1.
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Should you play trips in Ultimate Texas Holdem?

As mentioned, Trips bets are completely optional in Ultimate Texas Hold'em, and from the mathematical perspective, they aren't the best choice as the house edge on them is around 1.9%. However, they can be a lot of fun and add excitement to your sessions.
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Is it rude to leave a poker table after winning?

The short answer to this question is that your timing for leaving a cash game should rarely take into account other people's feelings. In general, you should not play longer than planned just so the other players feel a bit better about it. That said, you should almost never leave simply because you won a big pot.
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Should you always run it twice in poker?

Running it twice (or multiple times) does not impact on the overall profitability of a situation in poker and it helps to reduce variance. As such, it may be worth always running it twice (or more) by default.
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Why am I always losing in poker?

One of the reasons why players lose often at poker is due to the inability to plan ahead. A lack of a tested and trusted strategy results in a poor play that leads to loss. Inability to plan causes players to make pie choices that all lead to a quick loss of liquidity hence reducing their time and chances at the table.
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What are the odds of getting a full house on the flop?

A pocket pair will hit a Full House roughly once every 100 flops. An unpaired hand will hit a Full House once every 1,000 flops. Ignoring the exact starting hand, we should expect to flop (on average) one Full House for every 714 flops we see.
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Should you always go all in with ace king?

Ace-King is in the top 2-3% percent of all starting hands in No Limit Hold'em. Even without knowing that, you can intuitively tell it must be very strong given that you hold the 2 highest cards in the deck. You should always raise with this hand preflop when the action folds to you, regardless of your position.
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Is ace king suited better than Pocket aces?

Ace-King is a powerful preflop starting hand, but pocket aces crush ace-king when the two hands go head-to-head. Pocket aces beat ace-king offsuit around 92 percent of the time. The suited version of ace-king (like A♥ K♥) fares a bit better against pocket aces, but still loses around 87 percent of the time.
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What is the best hand in poker before flop?

The best starting hands in Texas Hold'em poker are undoubtedly the pocket pairs with pocket aces on the top, followed by pocket kings and pocket queens. The pocket pairs (Ace-Ace, King-King, Queen-Queen) are the best hands to play in the preflop betting round.
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What hands should you fold before the flop?

Three Hands You Need to Fold Pre-Flop and Why
  • Jack-10 (Suited or unsuited) At first glance, J-10 is a pretty sweet looking hand. ...
  • Baby pairs. Everyone loves to potentially crack a big pair by playing a small one – between deuces and fives – and set mining their way into the lead. ...
  • Extremely Gapped Suited Cards. ...
  • Summary.
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Why do poker players go all in before the flop?

Not only does the all in player win the amount of the antes and blinds but the decision to move all in preflop gives him a major chip advantage as well. Secondly, when any player moves preflop all in, he is saved from making a hard decision post flop.
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What hand wins most often in poker?

Undoubtedly, the most popular winning hand in Texas Hold'em is a Royal Flush combining Ten, Jack, Queen, King, and Ace of the same suit. However, the occurrence of this hand is rare in poker. Therefore, the Straight Flush, Quads, and Full House are also the popular winning hands in Texas Hold'em games.
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What hand has the best odds against AA?

The very best hand against pocket aces is actually 8-7 suited because you get both straight and flush draws as well as the potential to backdoor trips or two pair. Still even the best hand against aces only wins 22.87% of the time.
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