What is odds ratio for dummies?

What is an odds ratio? An odds ratio (OR) is a measure of association between an exposure and an outcome. The OR represents the odds that an outcome will occur given a particular exposure, compared to the odds of the outcome occurring in the absence of that exposure.

What does an odds ratio of 1.5 mean?

An odds ratio of 1.5 means the odds of the outcome in group A happening are one and a half times the odds of the outcome happening in group B.

What is odds ratio with example?

Thus in our example, the odds ratio is 20.5 (smokers have 20 times the odds of having lung cancer than non-smoker); whereas the relative risk is 17 (smokers have 17 times the relative risk to have lung cancer than non-smokers).

What does an odds ratio of 1.25 mean?

“For example, if the Odds Ratio was, for example, 1.25, it would mean that the fact of being a woman is a risk factor for cancer because for every 10 women without a tumor there would be 50 with it, while for every 10 healthy men there would be only 40 diseased”.

What is considered a good odds ratio?

Odds Ratio is a measure of the strength of association with an exposure and an outcome. OR > 1 means greater odds of association with the exposure and outcome. OR = 1 means there is no association between exposure and outcome. OR < 1 means there is a lower odds of association between the exposure and outcome.

A Guide To Odds Ratios: What They Are and How To Communicate Them Clearly

How do you describe odds ratio in words?

What is an odds ratio? An odds ratio (OR) is a measure of association between an exposure and an outcome. The OR represents the odds that an outcome will occur given a particular exposure, compared to the odds of the outcome occurring in the absence of that exposure.

What does an odds ratio of 0.7 mean?

If the Odds ratio is 0.7 then it indicates a protective effect - I.e a reduced odds of exposure in case vs control group. That reduced risk is 1-odds so will be 30 percent reduced risk fo exposure.

What do odds of 1 to 4 mean?

1/4: For every 4 units you stake, you will receive 1 unit if you win (plus your stake). 1/2: For every 2 units you stake, you will receive 1 unit if you win (plus your stake).

What does an odds ratio of 0.1 mean?

From probability to odds

So a probability of 0.1, or 10% risk, means that there is a 1 in 10 chance of the event occurring.

What happens if odds ratio is less than 1?

An odds ratio greater than 1 indicates that the condition or event is more likely to occur in the first group. And an odds ratio less than 1 indicates that the condition or event is less likely to occur in the first group. The odds ratio must be nonnegative if it is defined.

What does an odds ratio of .75 mean?

"When you are interpreting an odds ratio (or any ratio for that matter), it is often helpful to look at how much it deviates from 1. So, for example, an odds ratio of 0.75 means that in one group the outcome is 25% less likely. An odds ratio of 1.33 means that in one group the outcome is 33% more likely."

How do you interpret odds ratio in a sentence?

An odds ratio of exactly 1 means that exposure to property A does not affect the odds of property B. An odds ratio of more than 1 means that there is a higher odds of property B happening with exposure to property A. An odds ratio is less than 1 is associated with lower odds.

What does an odds ratio of 0.80 mean?

(Example: If the probability of an event is 0.80 (80%), then the probability that the event will not occur is 1-0.80 = 0.20, or 20%. The odds of an event represent the ratio of the (probability that the event will occur) / (probability that the event will not occur).

What does odds ratio of 0.5 mean?

An odds ratio of 0.5 would mean that the exposed group has half, or 50%, of the odds of developing disease as the unexposed group. In other words, the exposure is protective against disease.

What is the rule of thumb for odds ratio?

But how big an effect is it? Epidemiologists use this very rough rule of thumb: An odds ratio of 4 or more is pretty strong and not likely to be able to be explained away by some unmeasured variables. An odds ratio bigger than 2 and less than 4 is possibly important and should be looked at very carefully.

Does odds ratio mean risk?

The odds ratio (OR) is the ratio of odds of an event in one group versus the odds of the event in the other group. An RR (or OR) of 1.0 indicates that there is no difference in risk (or odds) between the groups being compared.

What do odds of 1/10 mean?

This can also be calculated as 1 / (9 + 1) = 0.10 - There is a 10% chance that the event will happen.

Why is odds ratio better than relative risk?

When the outcome is not rare in the population, if the odds ratio is used to estimate the relative risk it will overstate the effect of the treatment on the outcome measure. The odds ratio will be greater than the relative risk if the relative risk is greater than one and less than the relative risk otherwise.

What is odds vs likelihood?

Odds is the chance of an event occurring against the event not occurring. Likelihood is the probability of a set of parameters being supported by the data in hand. In logistic regression, we use log odds to convert a probability-based model to a likelihood-based model.

Are 3 to 1 odds good?

Are 3/1 Odds Good? 3/1 odds are great because for every £1 winning bet you will return £3 profit. The 3-1 odds reflect the chances of your selection and bookmakers will think it has a good chance at 3/1.

What does a 20 to 1 odds mean?

What 20-to-1 means: When you see 20-to-1 odds, you're looking at a long shot that is unlikely to win. In fact, the implied win probability for a team that's 20-to-1 is 4.76%. However, should that long shot come in, it would pay out $20 for every $1 wagered.

What if the odds ratio is greater than 1?

Greater than 1.0 indicates that the odds of exposure among case-patients are greater than the odds of exposure among controls. The exposure might be a risk factor for the disease. Less than 1.0 indicates that the odds of exposure among case-patients are lower than the odds of exposure among controls.

What does an odds ratio of 0.85 mean?

A relative risk of 0.85 corresponds to a relative risk reduction of 0.15% or 15%. The right interpretation of the odds ratio of 0.70 in the study by Lin et al is that for every point increase in the score of pain severity, the odds of having the response decrease by 0.70.

What do odds of 2 7 mean?

So odds of 7-2 mean that for every $2 invested, the punter gets $7 profit in return. This means when you bet $2, the total return if the bet is successful is $9. Similarly, if a horse is at even money (ie 1-1), it's $2 profit for every $2 invested, or a total return of $4.

What does a negative odds ratio mean?

Positive odds ratios indicate that the event is more likely to occur, whilst negative odd ratios indicate the event is less likely to occur.